PATIENCE

Twelve years ago, I was at the Tarrant County Democratic Party watch party being a witness to history. When the 10PM hour struck, it was announced that Obama had won.

In 2012, I was at my home in Denton, TX watching the returns come in. Ohio was announced for Obama 12 minutes after 10PM thus securing his re-election.

I remember where I was in 2016, and the slow agony among those in a Denver hotel room of watching Hillary Clinton losing to Donald Trump. I was so distraught that I could not drive, and I remember calling my sister to apologize to my niece for not doing enough to prevent the nightmare from happening.

There was some anxiety going into 2018, but there was relief when it was announced that the Democrats had flipped the House thus providing a necessary check on Trump’s recklessness.

In each of those instances, we knew the results.

2020 GENERAL ELECTION PREDICTION

This is my final electoral college prediction as it coincides with my predictions for the House and Senate.

If you haven’t voted yet, do so. 

vote.gov

iwillvote.com

betterknowaballot.com

Let’s recap since the last prediction.

2020 DEBATES RECAP

LESSONS LEARNED?

2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, PRE-DEBATES PREDICTION

 

CAN DO BETTER

AMERICAN MADE

Senator Kamala Harris was born in Oakland, CA on 20 October 1964.

Full stop

FUCK YOU 2016

2016 GENERAL ELECTION PREDICTION

This is my final electoral college prediction.

Let’s recap since the last prediction.

WHO CONTROLS THE COLORADO GENERAL ASSEMBLY (2016 EDITION)

Before I reveal my final electoral college prediction, I cannot stress enough how important downballot races are. What happens in your state capitol matters; probably more than what happens in our nation’s capital.

Again, to quote Omar Navarez, “Obama’s going to give me (a gay Latino) my equality. But he ain’t going to fix the roads in Dallas.”

How did Colorado, Oregon, and Washington institute a mail-in ballot system. It was magic. Because they had legislators who believed in making it easier for people to vote. Oregon has automatic voter registration which I am hoping we can bring to Colorado.

On the opposite side, look at the list of bad legislation that is coming from certain states and look at which political party controls that state’s legislature and governorship. Voter ID, limits to polling locations, right to work laws, anti-abortion laws, anti-LGBT legislation, and so many others.

OUR SENATOR(S)

2016 was going to be a tough year for Republicans defending the gains made the last time these seats were up six years earlier. In 2010, Republicans won senate seats in Florida, Indiana, Illinois, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin as well as re-election of incumbents in Arizona, Iowa, Missouri, and North Carolina. Democrats were successful in holding seats in Colorado and Nevada.

Why are these states mentioned?

With the exception of Arizona, Indiana, Missouri, and North Carolina, Obama won the remaining 7 states twice in his presidential runs. While Indiana and North Carolina were Obama states in 2008, both states were in the Republican column in 2012 though North Carolina is trending more towards battleground while Indiana has reverted back to a reliably red state.

Here are my picks for some key senate races to keep an eye on while watching the election coverage on Tuesday night. For the purposes of full disclosure, here is a list of senators I donated money to this cycle.

FLIP THE HOUSE (2016 EDITION)

It is not going to happen.

Well… it could, but based on what I have seen it will not happen.

CHOOSE WISELY

I might have been a TAD abrasive in my critiques of third parties, but the truth is that one of these two people will be elected president tommorrow.

To the undecided voters that remain and especially those that live in competitive states, ask yourself this: you have two candidates for a job. One group, A, thoroughly vetted their two major choices and one person emerged. The other group, B, vetted 17 people and one person emerged out of that group.

Group A’s candidate was as an administrator, played an active role in community service, is well versed in international relationships, and knows the inner workings of how the company work. The candidate has detailed knowledge about the makeup of the company’s employees, their issues, and is constantly studying on ways to improve their lives. Group A’s candidate has an issue with record keeping but has been cleared of any wrongdoing.

While Group B’s candidate despite a business background has a well-documented history of sexual harassment, discrimination, prejudice, promoting a hostile work environment, and has not disclosed any financial records that have been requested. Group B’s candidate also has looming unresolved legal issues.

The company will pick one of these two candidates. A third option is not viable. Selecting a third option means that your choice will be noted, but will likely result in a candidate you despise running this complex company and its employees for the next four years.

Obviously, Group A’s candidate is highly qualified but has flaws. There is no such thing as a perfect candidate. B’s candidate could potentially damage the reputation of the company that would take years to recover from, and the morale of the employees would drop.

The time for choosing is upon us.

Choose wisely

I’M (STILL) WITH HER

Don’t act so surprised

I endorsed Hillary Clinton prior to caucusing for her in March, and I am returning my ballot for her at a drop off location.

CLINTON-TRUMP III RECAP

The final general election between the major party candidates is in the books.

CLOSING ARGUMENTS

Tonight is not just the final general election presidential debate but the final presidential debate involving one of the two parties until we start talking about 2020 which will likely be sometime in the second half of 2019.

Both Clinton and Trump have to make their closing arguments at the University of Nevada-Las Vegas to the few remaining undecided voters there are out there on why they should be the next president.

CLINTON-TRUMP II RECAP

Sunday night was debate night as Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump faced off for the second presidential election debate, this time in St. Louis.

Here is how I scored it

PREPARATION

“Well, Donald, I know you live in your own reality”

- Hillary Clinton, first debate

KAINE-PENCE RECAP

Tuesday night was the only time the vice-presidential candidates would debate in the 2016 election.

I think there will be a couple of things remembered about this debate but it is quickly starting to fade from the news cycle in part due to the most recent Trump controversy and the lead up to the second presidential debate.

Here is how I scored this debate

KEEPING UP

It is hard to keep up with Trump’s patterns of behavior. Not releasing his tax returns. Insulting veterans and their families. Calling Mexican’s rapists. Inciting violence among his supporters. 3AM tweetstorms. The scam that is his foundation and Trump University. The ban on Muslims. The list goes on.