1.
Patriots
2.
Dolphins
3.
Jets
4.
Bills
Bill
Belichick and Tom Brady are still with the Patriots. New England will win the
division without any serious challenge from divisional opponents.
Adding
Darrelle Revis and Brandon Browner are upgrades to their secondary but the
question is which Revis will show up. The one who established Revis Island when
he was with the Jets or the one who was playing for a paycheck during his brief
time in Tampa.
The
Patriots first two games are on the road at Miami and at Minnesota. Their home
opener is against Oakland followed by Monday Night in Kansas City and Sunday
Night at home against the Bengals.
Week
9 is a late afternoon matchup against the Broncos and Peyton Manning in another
installment of the Tom Brady vs.
Peyton Manning Matchup.
After
the bye week in Week 11, the Patriots travel to Indianapolis to play a Colts
team that is on the rise followed by a home game against the Lions, the first
meeting between Brady and Rodgers in Green Bay, and at San Diego for the Week
14 Sunday Night Game.
New
England closes out the season going through the AFC East hosting the Dolphins,
at the Jets, and close out the regular season at home against the Bills.
The
question about this team is how deep in the playoffs will they go. Since their
last Super Bowl win 10 years ago, New England has made the playoffs every
season except for 2008 when they won 11 games but
missed the playoffs due to tiebreakers. In this time period, the Patriots have
had their seasons end at the hands of Peyton Manning twice (AFC Title Games 2006, 2013), Eli Manning
twice (Super Bowl XLII, Super Bowl XLVI), the Broncos in
the year Jake Plummer led Denver to the AFC Title Game, the Ravens
twice (2009, 2012), and the Jets.
Some
have attributed that the reason why the Patriots aren't as successful when they
won three Super Bowls in four seasons is because they lost their competitive
advantage. I'm talking about SpyGate.
Recently
FiveThirtyEight published this article stating that
the Patriots actually had a better record from 2007 onward compared to when the
videotaping supposedly took place and that their point differential between
predicted points and actual points was the same before and after SpyGate.
I
think it has to do more with that the AFC is deeper and as shown in the two
Super Bowls the Patriots lost, they ran into a team (the Giants) that was the
better team in that game. As FiveThirtyEight pointed out in that same article, the best team wins the Super Bowl
24% of the time.
If
the Dolphins were not in the AFC East, I would consider them a possible
division champion. Unfortunately that is not the case. Miami finished 2013 with
an 8-8 record, their best record since finishing 11-5 in 2008 as AFC East
champions. The longest Miami went between playoff appearances was from 2001
until the 2008 season. If Miami fails to make the playoffs this year, it will
equal that playoff drought.
Quarterback
Ryan Tannehill was sacked a league high 58 times. I don't see it getting any
better given that the offensive line is beat up. Center Mike Pouncey underwent hip
surgery in June
and is not expected to return until mid October.
In
Week 4 Miami heads east to London to play the Raiders. After their bye week, the
Dolphins face the Packers, at the Bears, host the Chargers in Week 9, at
Detroit in Week 10, and at Denver in Week 12. The Dolphins final five games are
at the Jets, Ravens, at New England, and close out the season at home against
the Vikings and Jets.
The
Bills and Jets are both franchises that are in disarray. At the end of the
season the Jets will be looking for a new head coach. The Bills would be
looking at a possible replacement for quarterback E.J. Manuel. Buffalo has many
talented position players but will be hindered by quarterback play.
Until
we hear the retirements of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick, the Patriots reign
over the AFC East will continue for another season.
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