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I served in the US Navy from 2002-08; four of those years were as a Nuclear Propulsion Operator aboard an aircraft carrier. I engage in political activism in various Democratic circles when I am able to. I have a cat, and I am an uncle.

All opinions that I express are my own and do not reflect the views of any organization that I represent.

Thursday, May 6, 2010

UK GENERAL ELECTION, MAY 2010


I am going to talk about Parliament today.

No, not the 70s funk band Parliament. PARLIAMENT!



If you are interested in watching the live results of the election: BBC.

Today is the UK General Election. For the past month, Gordon Brown (Labour, Prime Minister), David Cameron (Conservative), and Nick Clegg (Lib-Dem) have been canvassing across the United Kingdom trying to garner the necessary votes in order to gain the necessary a majority of seats in the House of Commons.

The leader of the winning party will reside at the second most popular address in the world.


In first place... Well, there is a slight bit of American bias towards the most popular address in the world…


If you thought that the method of how the United States elects the President was difficult, try understanding how the United Kingdom elects its Parliament.


And watching Prime Minister's Question Time is quite humorous. They are BRUTALL over there. I like what Robin Williams has to say about the House of Commons.

Here are the polls from the BBC and dig through fivethirtyeight.com for some election analysis.

Based on what I have been reading, the election will result in a Hung Parliament. The last time that happened in the UK was the February 1974 General Election. (BBC Video)

PREDICTIONS

Needed for Majority: 326
1. Conservative 300
2. Labour 241
3. Liberal-Democrat 80
4. Other 29

Turnout: 75%. VERY High for US standards, but about average for UK Elections

I think the Brits have lost confidence in Labour's ability to steer their country through the global economic crisis. Over the past week, Greece had to be bailed out by the European Union. The UK has been very cautious of joining the EU ECONOMICALLY. Then there was Brown's "Bigoted" comment when referring to a voter which it is looking like it will cost Labour more seats. Plus there might be similar feelings of new leadership is needed to govern that was witnessed in the 2008 US Presidential election.

There are many different scenarios for forming a coalition government.

The one MOST likely is a union between Labour and the Liberal Dems since Labour is the ruling party and has the first choice of forming a government. I would not be surprised if there is a coalition between the Conservatives AND the Liberal Democrats in order to push Labour into the minority and Gordon Brown out of 10 Downing Street.

Nick Clegg will have a high cabinet position in either government.

After the 1974 election that resulted in Hung Parliament, another election was called for that October. The result: Labour was able to secure 18 more seats in order to form a majority government and retain Harold Wilson as Prime Minister.

And don't trust what Sky News puts out. They're owned by this guy.
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