Tuesday, November 8, 2016

2016 GENERAL ELECTION PREDICTION




This is my final electoral college prediction.


WHO CONTROLS THE COLORADO GENERAL ASSEMBLY (2016 EDITION)

Before I reveal my final electoral college prediction, I cannot stress enough how important downballot races are. What happens in your state capitol matters; probably more than what happens in our nation’s capital.

Again, to quote Omar Navarez, “Obama’s going to give me (a gay Latino) my equality. But he ain’t going to fix the roads in Dallas.”

How did Colorado, Oregon, and Washington institute a mail-in ballot system. It was magic. Because they had legislators who believed in making it easier for people to vote. Oregon has automatic voter registration which I am hoping we can bring to Colorado.

On the opposite side, look at the list of bad legislation that is coming from certain states and look at which political party controls that state’s legislature and governorship. Voter ID, limits to polling locations, right to work laws, anti-abortion laws, anti-LGBT legislation, and so many others.

Monday, November 7, 2016

OUR SENATOR(S)



2016 was going to be a tough year for Republicans defending the gains made the last time these seats were up six years earlier. In 2010, Republicans won senate seats in Florida, Indiana, Illinois, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin as well as re-election of incumbents in Arizona, Iowa, Missouri, and North Carolina. Democrats were successful in holding seats in Colorado and Nevada.

Why are these states mentioned?

With the exception of Arizona, Indiana, Missouri, and North Carolina, Obama won the remaining 7 states twice in his presidential runs. While Indiana and North Carolina were Obama states in 2008, both states were in the Republican column in 2012 though North Carolina is trending more towards battleground while Indiana has reverted back to a reliably red state.

Here are my picks for some key senate races to keep an eye on while watching the election coverage on Tuesday night. For the purposes of full disclosure, here is a list of senators I donated money to this cycle.