On
the first Tuesday of this month, Senator Wendy Davis and Attorney General Greg
Abbott easily won their respective party's primaries.
For
the first time since December 2000, Texas will have a brand new governor. One
of these persons will be sworn in as the 48th governor of Texas this coming
January.
You
may wonder why a recently relocated resident of Colorado might take interest in
a gubernatorial election in another state. For starters, I still have many
friends and family members that live in Texas and they wonder what do I think
about the November election. I lived in Texas for 24 of the 30 years that I've
been on this planet.
Here
is another reason why people should pay attention to what is going on in Texas.
The Lone Star State has had a huge sway in national politics for over 80 years.
The trend can be traced back to 1932 when the Democratic Party nominated
Franklin Delano Roosevelt, who represented the northern wing of the party, as their
candidate for president and John Nance Garner, who was a Congressman from
Texas, as their choice for vice-president. It is widely believed that Garner said
that the
vice-presidency was not worth a pitcher bucket warm of piss spit.
After the death of Speaker William Bankhead in September 1940, Sam Rayburn was
elevated to the Speaker's chair. Both Garner and Rayburn got their start in the
Texas Legislature. Rayburn was elected Speaker of The Texas House after only
his second term in The Lege.
Rayburn
was Speaker of The House from 1940-1947, 1949-1953, and from 1955 until his
death in November 1961. The interruptions in his speakership were caused when
the Republicans took control of the House during which time he was out of the
speakership despised being referred to as the Minority Leader, but rather the
Democratic Leader. His 17 years holding the gavel is the longest in US history.
Rayburn was one of the influences of a young congressman named Lyndon Banes
Johnson. Johnson left the House in 1948 to run for the US Senate where he
became the Senate Majority Whip and Democratic Leader. Following FDR's
strategy, Kennedy selected Johnson as his running mate in 1960. Events in
Dallas in November 1963 elevated Johnson to the presidency.
George
H.W. Bush's rise to the presidency was different than that of Johnson's. Though
not a native Texan, Bush got his start in Texas. He was Chairman of the Harris
County Republican Party in the 1960s and was elected to the House in 1966
representing a Houston neighborhood. Bush tried a second attempt to run for the
US Senate in 1970 but was defeated by Lloyd Bentsen. Despite the loss, Nixon
appointed Bush as his ambassador to the United Nations in March 1971. With the
Watergate scandal looming in 1973, Nixon requested that Bush become chair of
the RNC. After Nixon's resignation and a new administration coming into the
Oval Office in August 1974, Gerald Ford named him as liaison to China in
September 1974 and then Director of Central Intelligence from January 1976
until the end of the Ford presidency one year later.
During
the Carter administration, Bush was chairman of the First International Bank in
Houston and was a part-time professor at Rice University's Jones School of
Business. Bush began exploring a presidential run and entered the Republican
Primary in 1980. During the primary, Bush famously called Ronald Reagan's supply side economic plan
"voodoo economics." Though that did help him win the Iowa caucuses,
it would be the high point of his campaign. Reagan won the nomination, but
selected Bush as his running mate. George H.W. Bush was Vice President from
1981-89 and won his own term as President in 1988 defeating the Democratic ticket
of Michael Dukakis and Lloyd Bentsen.
Despite
the Democrats failures to capture the White House in 1988, television audiences
were introduced to Ann
Richards in a keynote address where she was critical of the Republican
nominee with this famous one liner:
This wasn't the first time that a Texan address
the DNC as a keynoter. Congresswoman Barbara Jordan did so in 1976,
becoming the first black woman to address a major party convention. She would
do so again in 1992. Richards
used that exposure to run and win a term as governor of Texas in 1990.
George
H.W. Bush lost his re-election bid in 1992 to former Arkansas governor Bill
Clinton. Two years later another Bush became the face of Texas politics. George
W. Bush got his start in the oil and gas industry and later purchased a share
of the Texas Rangers in April 1989. In November 1994 he defeated the incumbent
Ann Richards in an election that was both hotly contested and a reflection of
the national politics at the time.
In
2000, W. Bush ran for president and won the Republican nomination despite an
opposition campaign by Senator John McCain whose efforts were crushed by Karl Rove. Thanks to
the television networks
unable to make a clear call in Florida on Election Night 2000 along with voter
irregularities and confusion
concerning the ballot layout in that state and one of the candidates brother
being governor of said state and to top it off, a partisan Supreme Court
stepped in to decide the election in one of the most
controversial decisions the court has ever decided, George W. Bush was "elected"
president. In one the closest
elections in recent history, George W. Bush became our country's 43rd
president and served two terms.
Despite
not winning the state in either of his presidential runs, President Obama made
a fundraising stop in Austin and San Antonio in July 2012. San
Antonio Mayor Julian Castro and now-Senator Ted Cruz both
delivered keynote addresses to their respective party conventions in 2012.
Recently Houston Mayor Annise Parker addressed the California Democratic Party at their convention as a means of increasing her visibility and she has hinted
at higher office within Texas. The Democratic caucus contains freshmen Marc Vesey of the recently
created TX-33 that stretches from Fort Worth to Dallas and JoaquĆn Castro who
represents San Antonio in TX-20 that was once represented by Henry and later his
son Charlie Gonzalez.
The Republican conference can always rely on East Texas Congressman Louie
Gohmert to say something insane
crazy completely
devoid of any facts.
Gail
Collins' book "As Texas Goes, So
Goes The Nation" highlights how much sway Texas has on national policy.
It is really no surprise. Population wise, Texas is the 2nd only behind
California and has 38 electoral votes, also behind California's 55.
Roe v. Wade (1973) originated out of Texas and given
what
happened in Austin last summer, it could lead to the Supreme Court
revisiting the issue of abortion down the road. Texas and many other states are
passing similar laws regulating abortion clinics while also adopting sex
education that teaches abstinence only. In this 2010 interview, Governor Rick
Perry claims that abstinence is working while Texas Tribune's Evan Smith shows
that the facts differ than what the governor is claiming.
On
the topic of education, in 2011 the Lege made cuts to education and state level
social safety net programs in order to balance the budget on the poor and
working class while awarding tax breaks to the wealthy. Some of those cuts were
restored in 2013 but that was before Governor Perry made the special session
call to focus on women's reproductive organs. George W. Bush brought his
"No Child Left Behind" program from Texas up to DC when he entered
the White House in January 2001. Democrats have criticized the program as being
too heavy on standardized testing while Republicans have criticized it for taking
control of education away from local authorities.
To
no surprise Texas has played a role in energy policy. Most of the major energy
companies are headquartered in Texas. The idea of hydraulic fracturing drilling
or "fracking" is taking place in Texas, some of them in suburban
areas of the state and resulting
in seismic activity. In the nearly three months since I've been in Colorado
I have seen ads on television advocating for fracking. The ads claim that it is
safe, but I beg to differ.
Energy
policy also explains why the politics of Texas is what it is today.
It
began when Jimmy Carter broke a promise he made with Texas
natural gas interests to deregulate the industry in order to solve the
nation's energy crisis and inflation. Carter's promise allowed him
to carry the state in 1976 and gave him enough of a cushion in the
Electoral College to unseat then-President Gerald Fold. Another energy crisis
came to fruition in the first half of Carter's term and the president called that
energy conservation was "the moral equivalent of war" in a televised
speech to the nation. Because his plan did not include Texas energy
interests, it was the start of the decline of the Democratic Party's power in
Texas.
In
1978, Bill Clements became the first Republican since Reconstruction elected to
the governor's mansion. He basically ran against Carter and his energy plan. In
1980, Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush carried Texas and would do so again in
1984. Bush would carry the state again in his win in 1988 and his loss in 1992.
George W. Bush would begin a nearly 20 year run of Republicans controlling the Texas
governorship.
In November 2002, Republicans would gain control of the Lege and
in response partake in an unexpected map redistricting
that would give more control to Republicans both in Austin and the Texas US
House delegation.
Carter
was the last Democratic presidential candidate to carry Texas. Since then Texas
has been a reliable red state in presidential elections. In part due to a Bush
being on the ticket in four consecutive presidential elections from 1980 to
1992 and in 2000 and 2004. Republican candidates have won Texas with more than
50% of the vote with the exception of 1992 and 1996 when the Republican
candidate won with a plurality.
No
Democratic presidential candidate has cracked 45% in Texas since 1980. The
average margin of victory for a Republican (or defeat for a Democrat, depending
on your point of view) in Texas is nearly 15 points. The largest spread was
Reagan's 1984 victory when he carried Texas by 27.5 points. In comparison,
Reagan defeated Mondale by a little more than 18 points in the national popular
vote. The only Democrat to come within of winning Texas was Clinton in 1992 and
he lost Texas by less than 3.5 points, but he was helped by Texas billionaire
Ross Perot claiming 22% of the Texas vote.
This
is why Texas matters. If you want a preview of what a Republican led government
in your state or a return to a Republican White House in DC, take a look at
Texas. Roads
downgraded to gravel because there is not enough money to fix them. Toll
roads that enter into default
because it is not generating enough revenue because people don't regularly use
them. Low
voter turnout. Rejecting
expanding Medicaid even though the state has the highest number of
uninsured persons and rejecting the Medicaid money costs the state $9.2
billion.
Believe
me. I and many others have lived the so-called
Texas Miracle.
The mirage must be shattered because it's really not about Texas.
It is about Texans.
No comments:
Post a Comment