Post
by Michael
Watts.
Hopefully
on television this year we will not see a passionate fan painted in his team's
colors while wearing nothing but a G-string and it's 5-below zero. Maybe during
the 49ers at Packers game.
So,
first things first.
A
hearty congratulations to Mr. Eli Blake for taking the gold medal in our
football picking pool. This was his first season doing so and many times he
made many bold picks during the course of the regular season. I took silver
finishing three games behind him and had the best record 6 times, as did Mr.
Blake. Ms.
Roberts was able to claim the best weekly record in Week 16 as the lone
bright spot in a subpar season by her standards. Week 11 featured the only
three-way tie of the season and Weeks 6, 13, and 15 had two participants tie
for the best weekly record.
|
Me
|
Monica
|
Eli
|
Week
17
|
14-2
|
12-4
|
13-3
|
OVERALL
|
160-95-1
|
144-111-1
|
163-92-1
|
The
NFL season concluded with the Packers, Eagles, and Chargers claiming the final
three spots on the final Sunday of the season. By Monday six NFL coaches were
in the unemployment line: Mike Shanahan of the Redskins, Rob Chudzinski after
one season in Cleveland, Buccaneers Greg Schiano, Jim Schwartz of the Lions,
and Leslie Frazier of the Vikings.
As
of posting, Lovie Smith is returning to Tampa but this time as their head coach. Meanwhile in the Lone Star State, the Texans have hired Penn State coach Bill O'Brien according
to the Houston Chronicle. Houston owns the first overall pick and so the
sooner they have a coach in place, they can focus on deciding on who they will
select with their pick. Because of her time in Kentucky and cheering on the
University of Louisville, Ms. Roberts is hoping that the Texans select
quarterback Teddy Bridgewater with their first overall pick.
Meanwhile
the Cowboys have not tarred and feathered their general manager and coach for
yet ANOTHER mediocre season fired anyone after their late season collapse
resulting in ANOTHER 8-8 season. Well, with Jerry the GM at the helm along
with his tool coach Jason Garret and the dumbest offensive coordinator
in America Bill Callahan, I can expect the Cowboys will have ANOTHER
mediocre 8-8 season in 2014. One can hope that the Cowboys can learn from
their lessons of this season and use them for a successful 2014 season that
will result in a Super Bowl Championship a NFC Title Game Appearance
a NFC East Championship and playoff game win an improvement from the
previous seasons.
As
for my predictions
at the start of the season...
Ok,
I DID pick the Packers to win the NFC North. And I DID pick the Saints to claim
a wild card spot. And I did pick the 49ers and Seahawks to make the playoffs,
but I was wrong about which team would win the NFC West. As for the AFC, I did
get the AFC East and West division champions correct (anyone would've gotten
those divisions correct) and said the Bengals would make the playoffs (but as a
Wild Card, not AFC North Champions). I did predict that one division would send
three teams to the playoffs, but again wrong division. It was the AFC West that
sent three teams to the playoffs this year.
So,
I am going to tweak the prediction just a bit.
The
road to the Super Bowl in the NFC goes through Seattle. The Seahawks are a
different team when they play at home. Part of that has to do with their crowd
which is good for a touchdown advantage. Since being the starting quarterback
of the Seahawks in 2012, quarterback Russell Wilson has a 15-1 home record.
Seattle's only loss in that span was in Week 16 against division rival Arizona.
Seattle ended the season with the number one ranked defense in fewest yards
given up and fewest points given up. Opponents had 4.4 yards per play, the
lowest in the NFL this season and turned the ball over 39 times when they played
against Seattle.
Who
could beat the Seahawks in Seattle? The Saints couldn't and that is why Seattle
got home-field advantage. Maybe Green Bay (and then all the Packers fans will cry about bring up the Fail Mary
from last season). While the Eagles have the offensive firepower and playmakers
to score points, again Seattle has the number one ranked defense. Carolina
played the Seahawks close in Charlotte back in
Week 1 and lost by 5 (which also had an impact on the Seahawks earning the
over #1 seed in the NFC).
The
one team I think COULD beat the Seahawks in Seattle is the 49ers. If the game is
more
like the December matchup in San Francisco and not like the Seahawk
stomping in Seattle that happened in Week 2,
then the 49ers have a good chance to make a return trip to the Super Bowl and
complete the quest for six.
However,
I'm going with Seattle to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.
For
the AFC, I have to disclose these two things: 1) I now live in Denver, and 2)
my aunt's spouse is a Broncos fan. She was wearing her Broncos sweatshirt
during a family New Years Eve Party, so none of these facts are not impacting
my prediction of who will end up representing the AFC at Met Life Stadium for
the Super Bowl.
The
AFC is a lot more wide open than people think. Last season Denver was the
number 1 seed, but were bounced out of the playoffs by eventual Super Bowl
champion Baltimore in the divisional round. The Bengals may be undefeated at
home (among one of their home wins, 2-seed New England), but on the road they
are a different team. Cincinnati is ranked in the top 5 in defense. All of the
other top 5 NFL defenses are playoff teams. The old cliché shows up in the
playoffs: "Defense wins championships."
WILD
CARD ROUND
Chiefs at Colts
Saints at Eagles
Chargers
at Bengals
49ers at Packers
DIVISIONAL
ROUND
Saints
at Seahawks
Bengals at Patriots
49ers at Panthers
Chiefs
at Broncos
CONFERENCE
CHAMPIONSHIP SUNDAY
Bengals
at Broncos
49ers
at Seahawks
It
would not shock me if the AFC Championship is another Manning-Brady matchup,
but I think Cincinnati could make a deep playoff run based on their defense alone and having defeated New England in the regular season. New England could be the dark favorite to get to the Super Bowl, but it will have to be without tight end Rob Gronkowski who suffered a season ending injury.
So,
my Super Bowl pick.
I
am leaning slightly towards picking the Seahawks over the Broncos the
Broncos over the Seahawks a good close game between two highly competitive
teams where the weather has little to no impact.
For
the last couple of days, I've had a problem in picking who will win the Super
Bowl. Now this prediction is a very fluid one. It could change if the team I
pick gets knocked out of the playoffs or a significant injury or I feel like
it.
A
Seattle victory would mean the city's first major sports championship since the
Seattle Supersonics NBA
Championship in 1979. Many people felt the Seahawks were robbed of a Super
Bowl Championship after some questionable officiating during Super Bowl XL. And
there was the relocation controversy of the Supersonics relocating to Oklahoma
City and becoming the Thunder. For a number one seed, the Seahawks for the most
part have flown under the radar. Only five of their games have aired nationally
this season (Week 2
Sunday Night, Week 7
Thursday Night, Week 8
Monday Night, Week 13
Monday Night, and Week 14
Fox Sunday 3PM doubleheader).
If
the Broncos win, it would cap a very likely MVP season for Peyton Manning who
set the single-season record for passing touchdowns (55) and passing
yards (5,477). Manning is the first quarterback to set the single-season
record for both passing yards and passing touchdowns since Dan Marino's 1984
season. Marino's 1984 season ended with the Dolphins appearing in Super
Bowl XIX where Ray
Finkle's missed field goal in the waning moments of the game lost the game
the 49ers curbed stomped
the Dolphins into oblivion. Peyton Manning is going into the Hall of Fame
based on being highly ranked in every imaginable passing statistic and metric.
If there is one blip on his resume it is his playoff record. Manning is 9-11 in
the playoffs, along with eight losses of the one-and-done variety. Peyton
Manning has been on some very good teams in his career, but as shown in the
playoffs it's not always the best regular season team that wins it all but the
best team that day.
I
picked Denver to win the Super Bowl at the start of the season and I will stick
with them to be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy on the first Sunday in February. I'm going with that old saying that I hear in politics: "You
dance with the one who brung ya."
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