Last
night the Senate and House reached a deal that not only funds the government,
but it also raises the debt ceiling. Breaching the debt ceiling would have had
far reaching global economic consequences.
This
continuing resolution funds the government through 15 January 2014 and raises
the debt ceiling until 7 February 2014. So while I am breathing a sigh of
relief that this crisis has ended, this is not over. While the deal does call
for both the House and Senate to agree to a budget, I don't feel confident
about both sides coming to an agreement until the last minute. This is in part
due to previous behavior and history.
Expect
in January there will be the threat of another shutdown and then the Friday after
the Super Bowl there could be another threat of our government defaulting on its
bills.
The
government re-opening means that we return to relatively normal functioning for
the time being. Our national parks and monuments are re-opened. The Veterans
Administration can resume processing claims for health benefits and education. The
Smithsonian tweeted this upon hearing the news that Congress was funding the
government:
We’re back from the #shutdown! Smithsonian museums will reopen on Thursday and the @NationalZoo will reopen on Friday.
— Smithsonian (@smithsonian) October 17, 2013
Last
night after his remarks to the press, a CNN reporter supposedly shouted out a
question: "Are we doing this again in January?"
President
Obama's response: No.
After
the compromise on the debt ceiling that resulted in the sequester and other
austerity proposals, President Obama vowed he was no going to go through this
again. In every interview and press conference leading up to the Republican
Shutdown, the President made it clear that he wasn't going to give in to the
demands of Republicans in order to re-open the government. Opinion
poll after opinion
poll showed that people held the Republican Party accountable for this
shutdown and rightfully so.
Republicans
were trying to frame the debate as that government has no function in society
and they wish to shrink it to where they can drown it in the bathtub. While
there are concerns about what is the appropriate size of our government to
reflect modern society, completely dismantling the government and opening it up
by what they like and
don't like is not the way to do it. In the last presidential election, that
was one of the debates was about how much is government is involved in people's
lives.
The
truth is that it is involved in everyone's lives.
The
tourists who visit the National Mall in Washington, DC to learn more about our
country's history or just to go see stuff like I did in 2005 and again in 2006.
Veterans, like myself, rely on the GI Bill in their
pursuit of a college education. One of our largest public works programs since
the end of World War II, the interstate
highway system, was proposed by a REPUBLICAN President
and passed by a DEMOCRATIC
controlled Congress. Senior citizens depend on Medicare for health care
coverage and social security so that they are not spending their remaining
years in terrible poverty like they did before the establishment of the program.
The FDA, one of the oldest government bureaucracies, ensures that there are
quality standards for our food and medicine. And on the topic of food, there
are people
that receive food stamps.
The
government shutdown created an inconvenience to someone. Federal employees were
furloughed. Capitol police carried out their duty of protecting legislators and
other officials without pay. I have some classes with some veterans like me and
they were none too pleased about the government shutdown because it meant they
weren't going to get paid for attending school. Social security checks might
not have gotten mailed out. The financial sector was bracing for a potential
default that could trigger an economic collapse that would have made the
financial crisis of 2008 look like a hiccup.
If
there is trouble with the financial sector... it will impact EVERYONE.
There
is a lesson to be learned in all of this: We cannot be governing from crisis-to-crisis anymore.
We have real problems
to solve in this country as I highlighted in a previous
posting.
President
Obama is moving on from this and turning
his attention towards passing Comprehensive Immigration Reform (CIR). Speaking
from a purely electoral view, Republicans need this piece of legislation to
pass if they are to exist as a viable party. In the last
presidential election, Hispanics made up 10% of the electorate and strongly
supported President Obama, 71-27. That demographic
will grow over the next 30 years and will hold a large amount of influence
both culturally and politically on our country. It would not shock me that when
the 2016
Presidential Election arrives, the Hispanic vote comes close to 15% of the
electorate and the White vote dips below 70%.
If
CIR does not pass, it could lead to a
strategic nightmare for the Republican Party that dooms their party for a
generation from ever winning the White House.
If
the Republican Party wishes to remain relevant in American politics, they need
to start working for the American people. Not just the small percentage of
voters that participate in their primaries and the people that donate to their
campaigns, but everyone in this country.
Shutting
down the government backfired horribly against House Republicans. They offered
up a list of things such as approving the Keystone XL Pipeline, defunding/delaying
"ObamaCare," and allowing businesses to deny contraception coverage
to female employees. Congressional Democrats said we're not agreeing to these
things.
And
again, if the American people wanted those things, we would have voted for Mitt
Romney in the last election.
But WE
didn't.... loudly.
As
shown with Hurricane Sandy aid relief vote and the reauthorization of the
Violence Against Women Act, there is a path to getting legislation passed in
the House without a majority of the House Republicans. As
shown last night, Democrats voted in a unified block (198 votes). It takes
218 votes to pass legislation in the House, so you need to identify the 20
Republicans who are willing to buck their party. Last night 87 did so in order
to prevent the country from defaulting on their loans and end this self
inflicted wound.
For
now, we can breathe a collective sigh of relief that this has been resolved.
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