1.
Atlanta
2.
New Orleans
3.
Carolina
4.
Tampa Bay
The
NFC South has been called the NFC NASCAR division because it shares the same
geographic qualities of NASCAR country.
Last
season Carolina started 2-6, but finished 5-3 to end the season at 7-9. The
path to division title will be difficult as the Panthers enter this season with
the toughest schedule at .543. Quarterback Cam Newton can excite with exciting
plays and pile on fantasy stats, but it's a team game. The Panthers might be a
season away from being a contender in the division.
Tampa
traded for Jets cornerback Darrelle Revis. Revis was named to the NFL's Top 100
Players for the last three seasons. In 2011 he was ranked #8 and then #5 going
into 2012. This season Revis comes in ranked at #67. The dropoff was due to
Revis tearing his ACL last season. If Revis returns to the shutdown corner
status he was famous for in New York, the Buccaneers would fulfill the role of
surprise team in 2013.
Revis
Island... Well, actually, it's a peninsula.
Even
though both teams have game changers, I don't think it will be enough to crack
the top two spots in the NFC South.
For
the Saints, 2013 will be a return to stability. Head coach Sean Payton returns
to the sidelines since his yearlong suspension in the Saints bounty program
suspension. Even though the Saints led the NFL in passing yards and passing
touchdowns and scored over 500 points, they had the worst defense in the
league. The Saints hired former Cowboys defensive coordinator Rex Ryan.
This
can't be good for them....
But
wait a second... WHERE was Sean Payton an assistant before he was hired as the
Saints coach in 2006?
Sean
Payton was on Bill Parcells' Dallas staff from 2003 to 2005.
And
if you recall in Super Bowl XLIV, this was the clinching play:
Maybe
there is something about hiring former Dallas assistants that works for the
Saints.
The
Falcons were inside 15 yards from the franchise's second Super Bowl appearance.
Four of their last five seasons have resulted in playoff appearances for the
Falcons but only one playoff victory in this span.
Atlanta
had a habit of living dangerously last season meaning in games decided by 8
points or fewer the Falcons were 7-2. In the playoffs both of the Falcons games
were decided by 8 points or fewer. In their divisional round win over the
Seahawks, Atlanta squandered a 20-point lead but won with a Matt Bryant field
goal with 8 seconds left in the fourth quarter. In the NFC Title Game, the
Falcons led 24-14 at the half but lost by 4 to the 49ers.
Many
of the key components that were part of the Falcons 2012 season are back for
2013, one of them being tight end Tony Gonzales who decided against retiring at
the end of the season. Gonzales will be going into the Hall of Fame holding
several receiving records for tight ends. The one thing that would complete his
career: a Super Bowl trophy.
The
Falcons running game has a new player: Steven Jackson of the Rams. Jackson
comes to the Falcons with 8 consecutive 1,000-yard rushing seasons. The Falcons
pass heavy offense led by quarterback Matt Ryan should set Jackson up for a 9th
consecutive 1,000-yard rushing season.
The
NFC South won't be as easily won by the Falcons as it was last season, but I
think they will come out on top. Again, the Falcons were 8-3 in games decided
by 8 points or less. That experience should be enough to edge out over the
Saints for the division title. I also believe that a return of normalcy for the
Saints will lead to a return to the playoffs in 2013.
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