Opening
her show Friday, Rachel Maddow discussed the American anti-gay lobby taking
their efforts internationally to Russia and Uganda. Both countries have
exhibited hostilities towards LGBT persons. Russia with the passage of the gay propaganda law and Uganda's parliament passing their grotesque "kill the gays" bill. At the same time, there is something happening in this country happening
regarding gay rights.
Two
more states recently joined the ranks of recognizing same-sex marriages. New
Mexico's state supreme court unanimously ruled that same-sex couples have the right to get
married in their state.
The
second state was a case ruled in federal court. The judge was an Obama
appointee.
The
case impacted Utah.
Utah
is the 18th state to recognize same-sex marriages.
No,
that is NOT a type-o. Here is the story.
Within
an hour of the story breaking, same-sex couples in The Beehive State were
getting marriage licenses.
Well,
anytime a new state joins the ranks of equal marriage, I break out my handy
dandy Nate
Silver Gay Marriage Chart.
(You
may want to book mark it)
Nate
Silver boldly predicted earlier this year that 44 + DC out of 50 states will
embrace marriage equality by the year 2020.
Anyone
who doubts him....
The
chart shows when popular support for equal marriage will happen by public
opinion and likely a vote. Texas is projected to embrace it by at the earliest 2020,
though I think if you talk to people in Texas you'll be pleasantly surprised.
So
far the only states that have recognized marriage equality have been states
that went for Obama in 2012 and 2008.
Utah
is a red state. In 2008, Senator McCain won the state 63-34. In the recent
presidential election, Romney won the state by a nearly 3 to 1. If you asked me
which states would be last to recognize marriage equality: a
tie between Mississippi and Alabama, Louisiana, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and
Utah.
Looking
at the chart, Utah was expected to have majority support around the same time as
Texas, again, the year 2020. Utah is 7 years ahead of schedule. Iowa's courts ruled
in favor of marriage equality in 2009. Per the chart, it was not expected to
have support in Iowa until 2016.
With
Utah being the first red state to join the marriage equality foray, is there
another red state where it could happen?
Currently
there is a case being
heard in federal court in San Antonio involving two couples: two women who
live in Austin and married in Taxachusetts Massachusetts, and two men
who applied for a license in San Antonio but were denied. These couples are
challenging the state's 2005 constitutional amendment defining marriage as
being a union
of one man and one woman. This case has implications in the gubernatorial
election. The defendant in the case is Greg Abbott, the current attorney
general and likely Republican candidate for governor.
With
Utah breaking the Red State Seal, I believe that other dominoes will come
tumbling down and marriage equality will happen in all 50 states + DC in our
lifetimes and then we can focus on other pressing issues.
These
are indeed interesting times we are living in people.
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